Warren Up in Polls, Herald Endorses Brown: Who's Winning?

With Warren holding a small lead in the polls, and Brown getting a key endorsement from the Boston Herald, who do you think has the momentum coming into the final days of the election? Tell us in the comments section below.

Democrat Elizabeth Warren is up by five points over incumbent Republican Scott Brown in the latest WBUR/MassINC poll of the Massachusetts senate race. That's a near-total reversal of the BUR poll last month, which had Brown up by four on Oct. 9.

In fact, Warren has been trending upwards in most recent polling. The New York Times' FiveThirtyEight blog has Warren up by four in an average of recent polls. The blog, which uses advanced statistical modeling akin to baseball sabermetrics (think Moneyball) gives Warren an 89 percent chance of winning the election.

But Brown's got some significant energy on his side as well. He's been barnstorming the state with political luminaries like Senator John McCain and today won the Boston herald's endorsement.

So what do you think? Who has the momentum coming into the final two weeks of the election? Do the polls in liberal-leaning Massachusetts mean anything to you, or will Brown's high-profile support sway the electorate? Tell us in the comments section below.

Craig Foster October 24, 2012 at 08:55 PM
Hey Roberto, The Herald endorsement is not that important everyone knew who the Herald would endorse before the race even started. The only way Brown would get any momentum from an Endorsement would be if the Globe endorsed him .
deborah gudzevich October 24, 2012 at 10:05 PM
Of course the Herald endorsed Brown. Everyone knows it's a republican mouth piece.
Spartan438 October 24, 2012 at 11:10 PM
Does anyone forsee Scott Brown running for Governor? The State government is a complete mess at the moment.
Craig Foster October 25, 2012 at 12:45 PM
I can't see that. I think if he loses this election it will prove that his election was somewhat of a fluke of being a special election where overall voter turnout was down. I saw one stat about the special election that pretty much sums it up. Scott Brown got basically the same number of votes in the Special Election that McCain did it the 2008 presidential election. Which tells me he did a better job than Democrats in turning out his voters. That is also the reason he will more than likely lose this election as it will take probably 10-15% of Obama Voters splitting the ticket for Brown to win. If Brown loses, which more than likely he will, his best chance would be for Obama to get reelected and than run in the Special Election to fill Kerry's seat after he is named Sec. of State to replace Clinton.


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